Great news (at last)! The National Association of Home Builder (NAHB) reports that compared to last October:
- 56,000 more condos sold this year;
- 136,000 less condos in inventory than last year; and
- the number of months supply has come down by 3.9 months .
|
Condominium
|
Sales (thou.)
|
Inventory (thou.)
|
Months Supply (mos.)
|
|
October 2010
|
534
|
603
|
13.4
|
|
October 2011
|
590
|
467
|
9.5
|
|
Difference
|
+56
|
-136
|
-3.9
|
Keep in mind that there is still more than 9 months inventory on the market and more buyers in the market. In order to stabilize pricing for your community association, a plan is required immediately to engage the most qualified buyers.
A wise man once said that fewer buyers means lower prices. A wiser man said, if your buyer cannot get a loan, it really doesn’t matter, does it?
The wiser man must have read HUD’s research, where he learned that as of June 2010, 38% of single-family home loans were FHA insured loans. And in an even more recent HUD communiqué dated November 21, 2011, HUD reported that the FHA “. . . insured 770,000 new purchase loans and more than 585,000 of them were for families who became homeowners for the first time. This represents 56 percent of all first-time buyers in the nation.”
THE NEED FOR LOANS
There is a great deal of debate regarding whether to have a FHA and/or a Fannie Mae project approval. At the end of the day, it can be reduced to a simple decision.
If you are selling cars, your audience is drivers. If you are marketing condos, your audience is buyers. Both need loans.
You can no longer believe that getting a loan is the buyer’s problem. Without competitive lending, the equity of your condominium is at great risk. First time cash and portfolio loan buyers are today a statistical minority. According to these statistics, FHA buyers obviously have the credit and are ready, willing and able to commit. . . especially at today’s prices. But how do you determine whether your condominium is eligible for FHA project approval?
FHA CONDO COMPLIANCE
New FHA project approval guidelines recently went into effect that establish today’s project approval eligibility criteria. National Condo Advisors’ unique compliance review will provide you with a detailed list of any compliance issues together with recommendations for corrective measures. This is the most critical part of the process.
Corrective measures may or may bring with them short and/or long-term costs. To make a more fully informed decision, you will need to have all of your options made available. We offer this level of depth and expertise in every project we consult on. Our goal is to help your condominium achieve compliance and project approval eligibility at the lowest total cost and in a manner that best reflects your specific need for the availability of FHA loan products as well as your marketing goals, culture, budget and future plans.
THE TIME IS NOW
The condominium world has long awaited more sales, less inventory, and fewer month’s supply. In many local markets we still have a way to go. Nonetheless, the only way you are going to benefit from an improving market is through lending availability. And if you are in a challenging market, the need to make lending more available for your condominium is that much greater. Even the car dealer we mentioned above knows that he has to make financing available or people will go elsewhere.
The first step is to find out if your condominium is or is not eligible. Fill out a free eligibility review or contact National Condo Advisors today. There is no time to waste.
Shane Shapiro
National Director, National Condo Advisors, LLC
Shane Shapiro works with property management firms to differentiate their value proposition by better addressing project approval and its relationship to the availability of competitive lending. He supports homeowner association representation attorneys with technical resources in the areas of project approval and related engineering disciplines in support of new construction, conversion and existing condominiums. Connect with Shane on LinkedIn.